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今年以来,财政收入增长呈现加速回落、支出逐渐放缓态势,下半年受经济增长加速、结构性减税翘尾因素减弱以及基数降低等多种因素影响,财政收入增长有望实现稳步回升、财政支出也将呈前高后低的回落态势,预计财政超收超支依然存在。对自去年下半年出台的多项旨在支持结构调整、减轻中小企业和居民的税费负担的一系列结构性减税政策规模的测算及对实体经济影响的分析结果显示,其刺激作用较为有限。当前不确定的世界经济形势要求宏观调控政策更加积极,而近期逐步回升的国内经济形势要求扩张政策保持适度。在此背景下,要实施以扩大减税范围为主的结构性减税政策、以补历史欠账为重点的政府投资政策以及以补贴需求方为主攻方向的财政补贴政策,努力增强经济自主增长动力。
Since the beginning of this year, the fiscal revenue growth has been accelerating down and spending has been gradually slowing down. In the second half of the year, due to various factors such as the acceleration of economic growth, the weakening of the structural tax reduction hikes and the decrease of the base number, the fiscal revenue growth is expected to rise steadily. The financial expenditure Will also be pre-high and low of the decline trend is expected to exceed the financial overspending still exists. A series of structural tax cuts announced in the second half of last year aimed at supporting structural adjustment and alleviating the tax burden on SMEs and residents, as well as the analysis of the impact on the real economy, have shown limited stimulus . The current uncertain world economic situation calls for more active macro-control policies, while the recent domestic economic recovery, which requires gradual recovery, requires that expansionary policies be moderated. Under this background, we should make efforts to strengthen the independent growth of economy by implementing the structural tax reduction policy that mainly expands the scope of tax reduction, the government investment policy that focuses on making up historical debts, and the financial subsidy policy that subsidizes the demand side. power.