中东石油市场走势及中国应采取的对策

• 作 者: 杨中强
• 机 构: 云南大学西南亚研究所,
• 出 处: 国际商务.对外经济贸易大学学报
• 发表日期: 1997年05期
• 关键词: 石油市场 中东石油 原油进口 探明储量 石油需求 供求平衡 战略石油储备 我国石油工业 世界油价 剩余产能

世纪之交,我国对外石油依赖程度将日趋严重。在我国未来的石油供求平衡中,进口石油的比重会越来越大,中东石油将是我国不得不依赖的最主要的外来油源。在1996年中国原油进口总量中,中东原油首次超过半数,达53％。因而其市场形势的变化,直接影响着中国经济和贸易的发展。因此,我们有必要以战略的眼光,关注中东石油市场的走势,研究和确定中国的中东石油战略。

At the turn of the century, China’s dependence on foreign oil will become increasingly serious. In the future balance of oil supply and demand in our country, the proportion of imported oil will increase. Middle East oil will be the most important source of external oil that our country has to rely on. For the first time in more than half of China’s crude oil imports in 1996, crude oil in the Middle East reached 53%. Therefore, the changes in the market situation have a direct impact on the development of China’s economy and trade. Therefore, we need to take a strategic view, pay attention to the trend of the Middle East oil market, and study and determine China’s Middle East oil strategy.