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铁路客运站最高聚集人数是研究铁路客运站站房能力与规模的核心。本文在分析现有研究成果的基础上对设计期铁路客运站最高聚集人数的预测进行研究。认为将列车密集发车时段同一时刻到达车站候车人数与检票上车人数之差最大值的平均值视为铁路客运站最高聚集人数比较适宜。建立铁路客运站最高聚集人数预测模型,对模型中参数的取值进行讨论,通过算例说明本文模型的应用,并对预测结果进行分析比较。
The maximum number of railway passenger terminals is the core of studying the capacity and scale of railway station terminals. Based on the analysis of the existing research results, this paper studies the prediction of the maximum aggregate number of railway passenger transport stations in the design period. It is considered that it is more appropriate to regard the average of the maximum value of the difference between the number of arrivals at the station at the same time and the number of passengers on board the ticket at the same time as the dense train departure time. The prediction model of the maximum aggregate number of railway passenger transport stations is established. The parameters of the model are discussed. The application of the model in this paper is illustrated through an example, and the prediction results are analyzed and compared.