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目的从个体和群体角度研究HCV和HBV在HCC高危人群中的病因学意义及病因协同作用.方法将1989-1993年期间在江苏省启东、泰兴两地HCC高危人群中获得的140例HCC患者和247例对照血清,进行HBV、HCV血清学指标检测和非条件Logistic回归分析,比较各指标的危险度(OR)值和PAR(%),并进行统计学显著性检验.结果在抗HCV分别阳性和阴性的HCC病例中,其HBV各指标间的阳性率均无显著差异;HBV各指标和抗HCV的阳性率均以病例组显著高于对照组,P值均小于001,单因素非条件Logstic回归分析可见,感染不同HBV指标者患HCC的OR值和PAR值可相差数倍,以HBsAg阳性的危险性最大,OR和PAR值分别为949和5879%,抗HCV的OR值也较高,在413~485之间,由于人群感染抗HCV阳性率较低(364%),其PAR仅为1137%~1191%,HBsAg和抗HCV重叠感染的OR值为7071,远高于两者单独感染的OR值之积.结论HCV与HBV对高危人群中HCC的发生有病因协同作用,对个体发生HCC的估计相对OR两者相差不大,而对群体发生的HCC的人群归因危?
Objective To study the etiology and etiological synergy of HCV and HBV in high-risk groups of HCC from the perspective of individuals and groups. Methods 140 serum HCC patients and 247 control sera obtained from HCC at high risk in Qidong and Taixing in Jiangsu Province during 1989-1993 were tested for serological markers of HBV and HCV and unconditional logistic regression analysis. The risk (OR) value and PAR (%) were tested statistically. Results There was no significant difference in the positive rates of HBV among the HCC cases with positive and negative anti-HCV respectively. The positive rates of HBV and anti-HCV were significantly higher in the case group than in the control group. Less than 001, univariate unconditional Logstic regression analysis showed that the OR and PAR values of HCC infected with different HBV markers may differ by several times. The risk of HBsAg positive is the highest, the OR and PAR values are 949 and 58 79%, the anti-HCV OR value is also high, between 4 13 ~ 4 85, because the population infected with anti-HCV positive rate is relatively low (3 64%), its PAR is only 11 37 From 91% to 11%, the OR value of HBsAg and anti-HCV overlap infection was 7071, which was much higher than the OR of the two infections alone. Conclusions HCV and HBV have etiological synergistic effects on the occurrence of HCC in high-risk populations. There is no significant difference in the relative OR of individual HCC estimates, and the risk of population-based HCC is attributable to the population.