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一、国际环境全球经济缓慢复苏,分化态势仍将持续。世界经济复苏力度弱于预期,美国经济复苏势头较好,欧洲和日本表现不佳,新兴经济体增长动力有所削弱,全球地缘政治风险突出。国际货币基金组织(IMF)10月份预计,2014年全球经济增长3.3%,比7月份作出的预测数下调0.1个百分点,为今年以来连续第2次下调。世界贸易组织(WTO)9月份预计,2014年全球贸易量增长3.1%,较
First, the international environment The global economy is slowly recovering and the trend of differentiation will continue. Weaker than expected economic recovery in the world economy, the United States better recovery economy, poor performance in Europe and Japan, emerging economies have weakened the momentum of growth, highlighting the global geopolitical risks. In October, the International Monetary Fund estimated that the global economy will grow by 3.3% in 2014, down 0.1 percentage point from the forecast made in July and the second consecutive decrease since the beginning of this year. The World Trade Organization (WTO) expects in September global trade volume to grow 3.1% in 2014, compared with that of the previous year