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日前,国际上一些人在唱空中国,“中国经济要崩溃”。国内的房市正出现价量拐点,又一些人纷纷要求放松银根“保增长”。到底怎么看中国经济?2012年中国经济该如何发展?中国经济发展的主基调和发展逻辑没有变什么是中国当前经济发展的主基调?笔者在2011年7月曾指出:“从趋势看,我国经济正处于一个从过去两位数高增长平台,逐步迈向相对趋缓增长的平台。这一趋势并不是经济周期性问题,也不是宏观政策力量所能支配、调控的。”(见7月11日《中国证券报》)这一点,从中央政府到各级地方政府,到市场,都应该有清醒的认识。
Recently, some people in the world are singing empty China, “China’s economy is going to collapse.” Domestic housing prices inflection point is emerging, while others have asked to relax the monetary “Paul growth ”. In the end how to view the Chinese economy? How to develop the Chinese economy in 2012? China’s economic development has not changed the main tone and development logic What is the main tone of China’s current economic development? The author pointed out in July 2011: “From the trend, China’s economy is now at a platform of high double-digit growth from the past and gradually moving toward a platform of relative slow-growth, which is neither an economic cyclical issue nor a policy power of the macroeconomy that can be controlled and regulated. ” July 11, “China Securities News”) This point, from the central government to local governments at all levels, to the market, should have a clear understanding.