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近期,在销区玉米市场价格上涨势头的带动下,产区玉米价格也出现了上涨迹象,国内玉米市场行情全面升格局再度显现,与去年10月份国内玉米市场价格的大举上扬相类似,供求关系的变化是价格上涨的关键所在。近年在我国玉米产量保持稳定并伴有小幅下降,消费水平则在稳步增加的情况下,国内玉米库存连续4年下降、地区供求不平衡矛盾突出。分析认为,2004年我国玉米供需形势仍不容乐观,但市场价格却会表现出向好态势,具体分析如下:
Recently, with the rising price of corn in the sales area, the prices of maize in the producing areas also showed signs of rising. The full rise of the domestic corn market again appeared. In line with the massive increase of the domestic corn market prices in October last year, the supply and demand The change is the key to price increases. In recent years, the output of maize in our country remained stable with a slight drop while the consumption level increased steadily. The domestic corn stocks declined for four consecutive years, highlighting the imbalance between supply and demand in the region. Analysis shows that in 2004 China’s corn supply and demand situation is still not optimistic, but the market price will show a good trend, the specific analysis is as follows: