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利用1999—2007年中国31个省市的入境旅游人次、国际旅游(外汇)收入、国内旅游人次和国内旅游收入四个指标的面板数据衡量旅游业发展水平,并运用异质面板协整方法检验中国省际旅游业发展与经济增长之间的关系。研究发现:国内旅游与入境旅游的发展对全国及所有省市的经济增长均有显著的正效应,其中,入境旅游对经济增长的促进作用更显著;与此同时,经济增长和入境旅游人次、国际旅游(外汇)收入和国内旅游收入存在长期单向Granger因果关系,表明经济增长也推动着入境旅游和国内旅游的发展。
Using the panel data of inbound tourists, international tourism (foreign exchange) revenue, domestic tourists and domestic tourism revenue from 31 provinces and cities in China from 1999 to 2007, the level of tourism development was measured and the heterogeneous panel cointegration test was used The Relationship between the Development of Provincial Tourism in China and Economic Growth. The study finds that the development of domestic tourism and inbound tourism have a significant positive effect on the economic growth of all the provinces and cities in China, of which inbound tourism has a more significant role in promoting economic growth. At the same time, economic growth and inbound tourist arrivals, Long-term one-way Granger causality exists between international tourism (foreign exchange) revenue and domestic tourism revenue, indicating that economic growth is also driving the growth of inbound and domestic tourism.