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This paper uses a probabilistic voting model to investigate voting for a free-trade agreement between a labor-abundant country and a capital-abundant country.Migration from the labor-abundant country to the capital-abundant country increases the probability of a free-trade agreement,with lower migration costs leading to more migration and a higher free-trade probability.On the other hand,if a lower probability of free trade is caused by an increased voter bias against free-trade candidates,then there is less migration.A dynamic extension of the model is also investigated.