Downscaling and Disaggregating NAO-conflict Nexus in Pre-industrial Europe

• 作 者: Harry Fung LEE ZHANG David Dia
• 机 构: DepartmentofGeographyandtheInternationalCentreofChinaDevelopmentStudies,SchoolofEnvironmentandNatura
• 出 处: 中国地理科学：英文版
• 发表日期: 2016年5期
• 关键词: 冲突关系 工业化 欧洲 时间序列方法 北大西洋涛动 干燥效果 显著水平 NAO climate change North Atlantic Oscillati
• 基金项目: Foundation item： Under the auspices of Hui Oi-Chow Trust Fund （No. 201302172003, 201502172003）, Research Grants Council ofGovernment of Hong Kong Special Administrative Region of China （No. HKU758712H

Recently, the desiccation effect of the North Atlantic Oscillation(NAO) is found to be positively correlated with violent conflict in pre-industrial Europe, with agricultural shrinkage and its subsequent economic shocks to be their causal link. However, i