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美联储货币政策观点和经济体基本面的相对变化是判断美元走势的两个核心变量,两者间的分歧可能导致美元走势的短期波动。但鉴于对明年美国经济逐步向上的判断,2011年美元指数趋势性走强将是大概率事件。
The relative changes in the Fed’s monetary policy and economic fundamentals are two core variables in judging the trend of the U.S. dollar. The differences between the two may lead to short-term fluctuations in the U.S. dollar. However, given the gradual upward adjustment of the U.S. economy next year, the stronger dollar index in 2011 will be a big probability event.