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2016年上半年,中国工业呈现出“缓中趋稳、有限复苏”的总体特征。工业行业结构继续呈现高级化趋势,中部地区工业领跑,工业出口和工业品出厂价格降幅持续收窄,工业企业利润回升,企业库存压力有所缓解,但去产能任重道远。模型预测结果显示,2016年12月份规模以上工业增加值增速降至5.7%、2017年6月份工业规模以上工业增加值增速降至5.0%的概率很大。一、上半年工业经济运行分析
In the first half of 2016, China’s industry showed its overall characteristics of “moderate ease, limited recovery”. The structure of the industrial sector continued to trend toward higher levels. The industries in the central region led the way. The export of industrial products and the drop in the ex-factory prices of industrial products continued to narrow. The profits of industrial enterprises picked up and the pressure on enterprises’ stockpiles eased. However, there was still a long way to go in terms of capacity. Model predictions show that in December 2016, the growth rate of above-scale industrial added value will drop to 5.7%. In June 2017, the rate of growth of industrial added value above the industrial scale will drop to 5.0%. First, the first half of industrial economy operation analysis