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介绍用于评价未来滑坡灾害的联合条件概率模型及其 5种估算方法。以某一时间为界将已有滑坡分成两组 (早期和晚期 ) ,运用研究区内一组早期滑坡和地理信息系统支持下的多层空间数据来建立预测图 ,通过与已产生的晚期滑坡的对比印证了该预测模型。
The joint conditional probability model for evaluating future landslide hazards and its five estimation methods are introduced. Landslides have been divided into two groups (early and late) with a certain time as a boundary. Based on a set of early landslides in the study area and multi-layer spatial data supported by Geographic Information System (GIS), a prediction map is established. By comparing with the developed landslide The comparison confirms this prediction model.