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一国经济增长速度的高低与其所处的经济发展阶段密切相关。世界各国经济发展历史表明:在经济成长期,经济总体呈现出超高速或相对高速增长的特点;在经济成熟期,经济总体呈现出正常增长或低速增长的特点。在人类经济从成长期向成熟期发展的进程中,经济增长速度趋缓是个客观的演化规律。根据中国经济发展的实践,结合国外经济发展的经验,回顾历史,展望未来,可把中国经济增长速度概括为四种类型:一是超高速增长(9%及以上的增长率);二是相对高速增长(6%~9%之间的增长率);三是正常增长(3%~6%之间的增长率);四是低速增长(1%~3%之间的增长)。中国当前已进入相对高速增长时期。中国经济能保持相对高速增长的根本原因是影响中国经济高速发展的基本因素依然存在,政策原因是新的政策扩展了发展的空间。对策建议:一是乐观看待中国经济增长;二是积极寻找新的增长空间;三是促进经济发展的转型。
The level of economic growth in a country is closely related to the stage of its economic development. The history of economic development in various countries in the world shows that during the period of economic growth, the economy as a whole has the characteristics of super-high-speed or relatively high-speed growth. In the period of economic maturity, the economy as a whole has shown normal growth or slow growth. In the process of human economic development from the growth phase to the mature phase, the slowing down of economic growth is an objective law of evolution. According to the practice of China’s economic development, combined with the experience of foreign economic development, reviewing history and looking forward to the future, China’s economic growth can be summed up into four types: one is super-high-speed growth (9% and above); the other is relative High growth (growth rate between 6% and 9%); Third, normal growth (between 3% and 6% growth rate); Fourth, low growth rate (between 1% and 3% growth). China has entered a period of relatively rapid growth. The fundamental reason why China’s economy can maintain relatively rapid growth is that the basic factors that affect China’s rapid economic development still exist. The reason for the policy is that new policies have expanded the space for development. Countermeasures: First, optimistic about China’s economic growth; Second, actively looking for new growth opportunities; Third, to promote economic restructuring.