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净现值(NPV)标准已在我国营林项目经济分析中得到广泛应用,其可靠程度取决于对项目现金流量和折现率的正确预测。现实中,现金流量,折现率的确定与通货膨胀密切相关,但目前在林业投资项目经济分析中,存在着对通货膨胀处理不当的情况,从而导致对营林项目真实经济价值的歪曲,直接影响到林业投资决策的正确性与可靠性。因而从净现值与现金流量,折现率以及通货膨胀的关系分析入手,对营林项目经济分析中处理通货膨胀的方法进行了初步研究。
The net present value (NPV) standard has been widely applied in the economic analysis of forest management projects in our country. The reliability depends on the correct prediction of project cash flow and discount rate. In reality, the determination of cash flow and discount rate is closely related to inflation. However, in the current economic analysis of forestry investment projects, there is a situation of improper handling of inflation, which leads to the distortion of the real economic value of silviculture projects. Affect the correctness and reliability of forestry investment decisions. Therefore, starting with the analysis of the relationship between net present value and cash flow, discount rate and inflation, a preliminary study on the method of dealing with inflation in the economic analysis of silviculture project is carried out.