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如果上述分析是正确的话,那么目前房市应该还未到大拐点时刻。按照草原上“牛吃草”现象,此时房市应该继续呈现欣欣向荣的繁荣景象,不应该出现局部冷却、甚至冰火两重天的现象。我想主要是房市具有不同于“牛吃草”的个性特征:首先,“存量需求”不是同质的。在第一波刚需大量释放后,第二波、第三波刚需需要更大力度的降价促销才能被激发。由于城镇人口中,户均每月可按揭资金与商品住宅平均月按揭的比值
If the above analysis is correct, then the current market should not yet reached the moment of the great inflection point. In accordance with the phenomenon of “cattle grazing” on the prairie, the housing market should continue to show a thriving and prosperous scene at this time. There should not be some phenomena of partial cooling or even twilight. I think mainly the property market is different from the “bull grazing ” personality traits: First, “stock demand ” is not homogeneous. In the first wave just after a large number of release, the second wave, the third wave just need greater efforts to markdowns to be stimulated. As the urban population, the average monthly household mortgage capital and commercial residential average monthly mortgage ratio