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世界著名未来学家阿尔温·托夫勒的新著《战争与反战》,论述了当代社会的革命性变化在军队的反映和对未来战争的影响。与其以往的《未来的冲击》、《第三次浪潮》、《权力的转移》三部著作一样,这本书又一次引起西方政治、军事、外交界的巨大反响。现将托夫勒的主要观点摘述如下。知识是当代发达经济的核心资源,也是现代军事力量的核心资源。包括军事情报在内的广义情报活动和功能的重新构造以及重新概念化正迈向建立一个全新的知识战略。这对于防止和赢得未来战争是必不可少的。
The new book entitled “War and Anti-War” by world famous futurologist Arvind Toffler discusses the reaction of the revolutionary changes in the contemporary society to the military and its impact on future wars. In the same way as the three works of “the future shocks”, “the third wave” and “the transfer of power”, this book once again aroused great repercussions from the political, military and diplomatic circles in the West. The main points of Toffler are summarized below. Knowledge is the core resource of the contemporary developed economy and also the core resource of modern military forces. The reconfiguration of broad-based intelligence activities and functions, including military intelligence, and the re-conceptualization are moving toward establishing a brand new knowledge strategy. This is essential to prevent and win future wars.