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10月份,国际金融市场走势仍受全球经济和利率前景主导。由于美联储继续按兵不动,且今后继续加息的预期在一度回升后又逐渐消失,导致美元汇率承压;而固定收益市场和股市涨势明显,尤其是多个股市创出历史新高,同时石油价格继续回落。在一连串不利的经济数据发布后市场已经开始认真考虑明年减息的问题。一.主要国家和地区的基本利率走势:美联储继续按兵不动,欧洲央行再次加息从表1可以看出,10月份全球调升了基准利率的央行主要有欧洲央行和瑞典,包括美联储在内的多数
In October, the trend of international financial markets is still dominated by the global economic and interest rate outlook. As the Federal Reserve continued to hold its line and expectations of further rate hikes gradually disappeared after the first rebound, the exchange rate of the U.S. dollar was under pressure. The fixed-income market and the stock market rose sharply. In particular, the number of stocks hit a record high while oil prices continued Fall back. After a series of unfavorable economic data, the market has begun to seriously consider the issue of reducing interest rates next year. First, the basic state interest rates in major countries and regions: the Fed continued to hold steady, the European Central Bank to raise interest rates again From Table 1 we can see that in October the central bank raised the benchmark interest rate in Europe are mainly the European Central Bank and Sweden, including the Federal Reserve