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一周的狂跌出乎所有人的意料,看来我们对多变的政策实在没办法把握。上周我们的判断明显有误,本来从技术走势讲,1496.21点到1373.93点的之字形调整结束后,只要股指再回压不破1373.93点,原则上应该以做多为主。可10月12日早盘的跳空低开就有点不对劲了,股指的短期型态完全被破坏,短线除了跟随做空,没有其他办法。以现在面目全非的股指走势,短期空头似乎还要扩大战果,顺势补掉沪指小时线1300.61点的向上跳空缺口。 为了对“914”行情进行较好的反思,我们分别设定两种情况对市场进行了统计。第一是个股在本轮行情中再创9月13日调整新低(或将创新低)的统计情况,第二是9月24日见高1496.21点后,全市场个股回落幅度统计情况。
The sudden drop of the week outweighs everyone’s expectation. It seems that we have no way of grasping the ever-changing policy. Last week our judgment was obviously wrong. Originally speaking from a technical trend, after the zig-zag adjustment from 1496.21 to 1373.93 points, as long as the stock index could not break the pressure of 1,373.93 points again, we should do more in principle. May 12 opening of the morning gap opened a bit wrong, the short-term stock index pattern completely destroyed, in addition to short-term short, there is no other way. With the now unrecognized stock index trend, short-term bearish seems to have to expand the bearish, homeopathic fill Hu Zhi hour line 1300.61 points upward gap. In order to better reflect the market of “914”, we set up two kinds of market statistics respectively. The first is a stock in the current round of market conditions to create a new record (or will hit a new low) September 13 statistics, the second is September 24 to see the high 1496.21 points, the whole market stocks decline rate statistics.