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360年前的甲申(公元1644年)3月,李自成率农民起义军攻克北京,崇祯帝吊死煤山,推翻了农民起义领袖朱元璋创立的大明王朝,农民起义的“学生”夺了“老师”的帝祚,确实是封建社会的一条“历史周期率”。1944年3月,郭沫若发表《甲申三百年祭》,毛泽东同志在延安的两次演讲中以此告诫全党“不要重犯胜利时骄傲的错误”。对于一个用“三千万人流血牺牲”换来政权的新中国而言,“胜利时的骄傲”在夺取政权后的一段时期内避免了。但能否彻底摆脱“周期率”问题,依然是一个值得我们认真深思的问题。中华民族有悠久的历史、有光辉的过去。历史学家公认宋朝是中国历史上经济发展最快的时期。一幅《清明上河图》画不尽12、13世纪宋都汴京的繁华景象。英国历史学家保罗·肯尼迪在《大国的兴衰》一书中写道:“11世纪后期华北已经拥有巨大的炼铁工业,每年生产约12.5万吨……这个生产数字比7个世纪后
In 360 years ago, Jia Shen (1644 AD) in March, Li Zicheng peasant uprising army captured Beijing, Chongzhen Emperor hanging the coal hill, overthrowing the peasant uprising leader Zhu Yuanzhang founded the Ming dynasty, peasants uprising ”Teacher “ emperor is indeed a feudal society ”historical cycle rate “. In March 1944, Guo Moruo published the ”300th Anniversary of Jiaxu“ and Comrade Mao Tse-tung warned the entire party in his two speeches in Yan’an that ”the pride of error should not be repeated.“ For a new China, which used ”bloodshed and sacrifice of 30 million people“ for political power, ”pride in victory“ was avoided for some time after the seizure of power. However, it is still a question that deserves our serious consideration if we can completely get rid of the issue of the ”cycle rate“. The Chinese nation has a long history and a glorious past. Historians recognize the Song Dynasty as the fastest-growing period in Chinese history. A ”clear and bright river map“ is not enough to draw the 12th and 13th centuries Bianjing Beijing bustling scene. British historian Paul Kennedy wrote in his book The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers: ”North China has a huge iron-smelting industry in the late 11th century and produces around 125,000 tons of coal per year ... This production figure is more than seven centuries later