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宏观环境利好,政策导向继续从严,市场走势仍存在不确定性十八大胜利召开,本轮楼市调控已满三年,房地产市场在“小龙年”的走势仍将是舆论关注的热点。可以预计,2013年房地产业面临的宏观环境总体利好,中央的政策导向将继续从严,而房地产市场走势则仍然存在不确定性。宏观环境利好看点1:人口红利还将集中体现,城镇化是经济增长引擎人口结构是购房需求的基础。从人口数量结构来看,20～30岁为首次置业年龄,30～65岁为改善型置业年龄。从当前中国的人口年龄结构来看,两次生育高峰的人群分别处于
The macroeconomic environment is good, policy guidance continues to be strict, the market trend is still uncertain. The victory of the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China is held. The current round of property market control has been completed for three years. The real estate market will continue to be the focus of media attention in the Year of the Dragon . It can be estimated that in 2013, the macroeconomic environment facing the real estate industry as a whole is favorable, the policy orientation of the central government will continue to be strict, and the real estate market trend remains uncertain. Prospects for the macroeconomic environment 1: Demographic dividend will also be concentrated, urbanization is the engine of economic growth Population structure is the basis for purchase demand. From the population structure, 20 to 30 years old for the first time, 30 to 65 years old for the improvement of home ownership age. Judging from the current age structure of China’s population, the population with two fertility peaks is located separately