经济增速有序换“档”的路径选择

• 作 者: 宗良
• 机 构: 中国银行战略发展部国际金融研究所,
• 出 处: 中国金融家
• 发表日期: 2012年08期
• 关键词: 经济运行方式 序换 需求疲软 货币政策 需求不足 经济周期性波动 趋势变化 宏观调控 二五 外部

受外部需求不足、出口增速放缓以及投资需求疲软等因素的影响,当前中国经济出现明显的下行压力。目前的经济放缓是短期经济周期性波动和宏观调控的结果,但更重要的是经济长期增长趋势变化的先兆,预示“十二五”后期,我国经济增速将从高速转入中高速阶段。实现经济健康平稳发展,必须改变经济运行方式,调整经济运行结构,有效地运用财政和货币政策。同时,实行市场化改革,通过一系列调整和转变,实现经济增

Due to the lack of external demand, the slowdown of export growth and the weak demand for investment, the current downward pressure on China’s economy has emerged. The current economic slowdown is the result of cyclical fluctuations in the short-term economy and macro regulation and control. More importantly, however, the harbinger of the long-term economic growth trend indicates that in the latter part of the “12th Five-Year Plan,” China’s economic growth will shift from high speed High-speed stage. To achieve sound and steady economic development, we must change the mode of economic operation, readjust the structure of economic operation and make effective use of fiscal and monetary policies. At the same time, we should implement market-oriented reforms and achieve economic growth through a series of adjustments and changes