中国经济:少些结论推断 多些前提分析

• 作 者: 顾海兵
• 机 构: 中国人民大学经济学院,
• 出 处: 价格理论与实践
• 发表日期: 2013年09期
• 关键词: 关键指标 统计指标 统计数据质量 文章数量 当代中国经济 产能过剩 计划经济制度 灰色经济 省域经济 再平衡

有关中国经济分析的文章数量很多,但其科学性究竟如何?需要我们反思。本文认为:一方面,中国经济几乎不需要多少复杂的分析,因为它的基本特征是具有相当强的可维持性;另一方面,中国经济要想做些科学的分析非常艰难。因为缺乏基本前提,即关键统计指标的缺乏和统计数据的不准。本文提出,对中国经济要少一些结论推断、多一些前提分析。

There are a lot of articles about China’s economic analysis, but what is its scientific nature? We need to reflect on it. This paper argues that: on the one hand, the Chinese economy needs hardly any complicated analysis because its basic characteristics are quite maintainable; on the other hand, it is very difficult for the Chinese economy to do scientific analysis. Due to the lack of basic premises, the lack of key statistical indicators and the inaccuracy of statistics. This paper proposes that we should conclude that there are fewer conclusions about China’s economy and that there are more prerequisites for analysis.