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主题:2001年油价展望意义:自20世纪70、80年代石油危机以来。工业化国家的经济增长已经较少依赖于能源供应。但是.油价依然是决定全球增长率、通胀率以及收入分配的重要因素。因此,原油价格的不确定性是展望2001年经济前景时面临的最大风险之一。分析:同2000年早些时候多数评论家的预测相比,原油价格仍长时间保持着高价位。这一现象开始促使美国和其他多数经济大国的消费物价上涨,并迫
Theme: The Prospect of Oil Prices in 2001: Since the Oil Crisis in the 1970s and 1980s. Economic growth in industrialized countries has less reliance on energy supply. However, oil prices continue to be an important factor in determining global growth, inflation and income distribution. Therefore, the uncertainty of the crude oil price is one of the biggest risks in prospecting the economic outlook for 2001. Analysis: Crude oil prices remain high for a long time, compared to most commentators’ forecasts earlier in 2000. This phenomenon has begun to push the consumer prices in the United States and most other major economic countries to rise and force