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中国宣布明年降低进口关税、取消部 分进口许可证管理后,有人预测明年人民币将大幅贬值,对美元的比值将跌至10比1以上。此间专家认为,这种担心没有必要,明年人民币汇率仍将继续保持基本稳定,可能在平衡、稳定中孕育小幅波动。 今年以来,人民币汇率虽小有起伏,但整体走势呈稳中有升。目前人民币与美元的比率为8.31左右比1,比上年底的8.45比1略升1.7％。 目前决定人民币汇率的主要因素是外汇供求关系。专家指出,影响中国外汇供求关系的基本因素短期内不会有大的变化,主要可从四个方面分析: 其一,中国高层明确提出,明年继续实
After China announced the reduction of import tariffs next year and the elimination of some import licenses management, some people predicted that the RMB will depreciate significantly next year, and the ratio to the US dollar will fall to more than 10 to 1. Experts here believe that this concern is not necessary. The exchange rate of the renminbi will continue to remain basically stable next year, and may fluctuate slightly in balance and stability. Since the beginning of this year, although the exchange rate of the renminbi has been ups and downs, the overall trend has been steadily rising. At present, the ratio of the renminbi to the US dollar is about 8.31 to 1. This is a 1.7% increase from 8.45 to 1 at the end of last year. At present, the main factor determining the exchange rate of the renminbi is the foreign exchange supply and demand relationship. Experts pointed out that the basic factors affecting the relationship between China’s foreign exchange supply and demand will not undergo major changes in the short term. The main factors can be analyzed from four aspects: First, high-level officials in China clearly stated that it will continue to be implemented next year.