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2001年创业板指数大起大落,年初时仍在309点附近,其后一直滑落,期间曾尝试反弹,但受“9.11”事件拖累,在2001年9月21日暴泻至160.6低点。创业板指数在2001年年底时重返199.4点,较9月低位反弹约24％。虽然如此,现在创业板指数仍较前年高位下挫80％。近日在200-210点附近徘徊,从技术走势而言,创指已重拾上升轨。首先,创业板指数已在160点水平附近有颇强的支持。创指近期已升破各短期的阻力位,看来有上试250天移动平均线(现在在250点附近)之势。另外,在10月份及11月初,走势图出现了两次强烈入市讯号。京华山一预测2002年的目标为250点,较现水平仍有20％的升幅。
In 2001, the GEM index fluctuated sharply at the beginning of the year and still remained near 309 at the beginning of the year. It subsequently slipped. During the period, it tried to rebound. However, it was dragged down by the September 11 attacks and plunged to a low of 160.6 on September 21, 2001. The GEM index returned to 199.4 points at the end of 2001, a rebound of about 24% from the September low. Nonetheless, the GEM index is still down 80% from its peak of the previous year. Recently hovering around the 200-210 point, from the technical trend, the index has picked up the rising rail. First, the GEM index has strong support near the 160 level. Indexes have risen above short-term resistance levels in the near term and appear to be on the 250 day moving average (now around 250). In addition, in October and early November, there were two strong market signals. MKD-I is forecasting a target of 250 in 2002, a 20% increase from the current level.