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北京时间11月10日,美国农业部再度调高大豆产量估值,使此前市场对于“50年不遇大旱”的悲观预期成为笑谈。不过,此时的中国压榨企业恐怕有些笑不出来。由于不少企业此前曾高价采购大豆,若遭遇大豆、豆油、豆粕价格三重下跌,行业或出现全面亏损。11月13日,黑龙江大豆协会副秘书长王小语在接受笔者采访时估计,压榨企业加工一吨大豆将亏损约500元,“2004年的大豆风波恐怕又要重演了”。有期货行业人士质疑,美国农业部有操纵数据之嫌,因为其先前的报告“诱导”大量的中国贸易商抢购待涨。
Beijing time on November 10, the United States Department of Agriculture once again raise the soybean production valuation, so that the market for the previous 50 years of pessimistic not expected to become a joke. However, China’s crushing enterprises at this time may be some laugh. Since many companies have previously purchased high prices of soybeans, soybean, soybean oil, soybean meal prices fell triple, the industry or a full loss. November 13, Wang Xiaoyu, deputy secretary-general of Heilongjiang Soybean Association in an interview with the author estimated that crushing enterprises will lose about 500 yuan a ton of soybean processing, “The 2004 soybean crisis I am afraid to repeat itself ”. Some futures industry questioned the USDA suspicion of manipulating data, because of its previous report “induced ” a large number of Chinese traders snapped up.