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新型工业化、新型城镇化、农业现代化、信息化和基础设施现代化即“五化”协调发展是欠发达地区实现现代化的现实选择。本文首先阐释了“五化”耦合协调发展的内在机理,接着构建了“五化”协调发展综合评价指标体系。然后以新疆为例,测度了新疆2000-2014年的“五化”耦合协调度,并对测度结果进行了分析。主要结论有:“五化”之间相辅相成、互为支撑。新型工业化是根本动力,新型城镇化是重要载体和带动力量,农业现代化是重要保障,信息化是重要引擎,而基础设施现代化是基础和前提条件。新疆新型城镇化发展水平最高,而信息化和基础设施现代化发展水平较低。新疆“五化”耦合协调水平很低,从2000年的极度失调逐渐转变为2014年勉强协调,但协调水平保持不断的提升。最后根据结论得到了几点启示。
The new industrialization, new urbanization, agricultural modernization, informationization and infrastructure modernization, that is, the coordinated development of “five” are the realistic choices for realizing the modernization in the underdeveloped areas. This paper first explains the internal mechanism of the coordinated development of “Five ”, and then builds a comprehensive evaluation index system of “five ” coordinated development. Then taking Xinjiang as an example, we measure the coupling degree of “fiveizations” in Xinjiang from 2000 to 2014, and analyze the measurement results. The main conclusions are: “Five” complement each other, mutual support. New industrialization is the fundamental driving force. New urbanization is an important carrier and driving force. Agricultural modernization is an important guarantee. Informationization is an important engine. Infrastructure modernization is the basis and precondition. Xinjiang has the highest level of urbanization with new-type urbanization, and has a relatively low level of modernization of information and infrastructure. The level of coupling and coordination in Xinjiang and “Five Dynasties” is very low. From the extreme imbalance in 2000, it gradually changed to barely coordinated in 2014, but the level of coordination has been continuously improved. Finally, according to the conclusion got some inspiration.