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卡斯特指数是对中国宏观经济周期波动进行监测的指标体系。依据周期因素的表现形式,经济周期循环波动可以用古典循环和增长循环两大类描述。我们采用适合中国经济特点的增长循环作为卡斯特指数发布的内容。即将经济指标的总量剔除增长趋势后,对偏离正常增长趋势的波动程度进行分析。卡斯特指数由三部分组成:一致合成指数:所谓一致,就是组成指数的经济指标的波动变化与整体国民经济的波动变化大致相同,如工业总产值、社会商品零
The Custer Index is an indicator system for monitoring the volatility of China’s macroeconomic cycle. According to the periodic form of performance, the cyclical fluctuations in the economic cycle can be described by two categories: classic cycle and growth cycle. We use the growth cycle suitable for the Chinese economy as the Custer index. After removing the growth trend from the total economic indicators, the paper analyzes the degree of volatility that deviates from the normal growth trend. Custer index consists of three parts: Consistently composite index: the so-called consensus, that is, the composition of the index changes in economic indicators and the overall fluctuations in the national economy is roughly the same, such as industrial output value, zero of social goods