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拓补预测实际上是ＧＭ（１，１）模型群的预测。将首都圈年累积释放地震能量的统计结果作为建模的基本数据，建立相应的拓扑预测模型，对２０００年以前首都圈年累积释放地震能量的发展趋势作出初步预测。
Topology prediction is actually the prediction of GM (1,1) model group. Based on the statistical data of earthquake energy accumulated in the capitals of the capital circle as the basic data of modeling, a corresponding topological prediction model is established to predict the development trend of cumulative release of seismic energy in the capitals of the year 2000 before.