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在对国外对华反倾概况进行描述的基础上,采用时间序列ADF单位根检验、协整检验及误差修正模型方法,具体研究了世界经济增速、中国经济增速以及中国经常账户余额占GDP比重三个宏观经济因素对国外对华反倾的影响。结果表明,世界经济增速对国外对华反倾的影响呈现非常显著的负效应;中国经济增速和中国经常账户余额占GDP比重对国外对华反倾调查在长期具有稳定的正向变化关系,短期对其影响不显著。后根据实证结论,基于宏观经济视角提出了相关政策建议。
Based on the description of foreign anti-dumping situation in China, this paper adopts time series ADF unit root test, cointegration test and error correction model to study the effects of world economic growth, China’s economic growth and the current account balance of China on GDP The Influence of Three Macroeconomic Factors on Anti-dumping against Foreign Countries in China. The results show that the world economic growth has a very significant negative effect on the anti-dumping impact on foreign countries; the positive correlation between China’s economic growth and the current account balance as a percentage of GDP on foreign anti-dumping investigations against China has been steadily changing in the long run , Short-term impact is not significant. According to the empirical conclusion, the paper put forward the relevant policy suggestions based on macroeconomic perspective.