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河北省人口老龄化问题的分析与预测河北省自1999年进入老龄化社会以来,老年人口的增速每年在3%左右,截至2010年3月已达989万,占到全省总人口的14%。按照这种发展趋势,据预测,到2015年,河北省老年人口将达1100万、约占总人口的15.5%;到2020年将达1300万、约占总人口的17%;到2030年将达到1676万,约占总人口的21%,接近中度老龄化社会;到2050年将达到1676万,约占总人口的25%,全省将进入重度老龄化社会。老龄人口的快速增长严重影响着河北省经济、社会的可持续发展。
Analysis and Forecast of Population Aging in Hebei Province Since the population in Hebei Province entered an aging society in 1999, the growth rate of the elderly population is about 3% per year. As of March 2010, it has reached 9.89 million, accounting for 14% of the total population in the province %. According to this trend, it is predicted that by 2015, the elderly population in Hebei Province will reach 11 million, accounting for about 15.5% of the total population; by 2020, it will reach 13 million, accounting for about 17% of the total population; by 2030, Reaching 16.76 million, accounting for about 21% of the total population and approaching a moderately aging society. By 2050, it will reach 16.76 million, accounting for about 25% of the total population and the province will enter a heavily aging society. The rapid growth of the aging population seriously affects the sustainable economic and social development of Hebei Province.