“政策铃声”吓坏了“巴甫洛夫羊”

• 作 者: 程实
• 出 处: 中国经济周刊
• 发表日期: 2006年28期
• 关键词: 巴甫洛夫 诺贝尔医学奖 看空 金融分析 一丝 政策转变 约拿情结 高级神经活动 市场主体 经济学家

以美国、欧洲、印度、中国以及香港地区的股市为代表,全球市场在一泻千里之后,近来又突然露出了一丝回稳迹象,这让一度惶恐不安的市场主体又开始左右为难,举棋不定。继续看空还是期盼反弹,专业金融分析师和经济学家莫衷一是。其实,一位在102年前拿了诺贝尔医学奖的老人早就对此类现象有过深刻而精辟的分析。

Represented by the stock markets in the United States, Europe, India, China and Hong Kong, there has been a sudden sign of a steady recovery recently in the global market. This has left the previously unsettled market participants with a dilemma and indecisiveness. Continue to bearish or look forward to rebound, professional financial analysts and economists are mixed. In fact, a man who took the Nobel Prize in Medicine 102 years ago has long had a profound and incisive analysis of such phenomena.