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随着全球风险资产价格的大幅反弹,美元走势将由基本面因素决定。但必须得承认,美国经济还没有强到让美联储大幅提升利率的程度。就业市场四季度见底将引发美联储紧缩和美元反转。
With the sharp rebound in global risk asset prices, the trend of the U.S. dollar will be determined by the fundamentals. However, it must be admitted that the U.S. economy is not strong enough to allow the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates sharply. The bottoming out of the job market in the fourth quarter will trigger the Fed tightening and the dollar reversal.