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上周综合盈利预测(2011年)调低幅度居前的25只股票中,行业分布比较均匀,除房地产录得4家入围外,其它如家庭耐用消费品、建筑工程、金属与采矿、水运等行业均录得3家入围。经济数据显示,目前国内宏观经济走弱,信贷持续收缩;同时周边经济环境恶化,欧债、美债危机影响仍在扩大。房地产投资和建设进度放缓,商品房成交地位徘徊,行业估值与2008年金融风暴相较仍有下跌风险,因此,凯基证券下调中国房地产至“中性”评级,
Among the 25 stocks with the largest decrease in the consolidated profit forecast (2011) last week, the industry was evenly distributed. Apart from four short-listed real estate companies, other industries such as household durables, construction, metals and mining, and water transport All three finalists were recorded. Economic data show that at present the domestic macroeconomic weakened, credit continued to shrink; the same time, the deterioration of the surrounding economic environment, the European debt, the impact of the U.S. debt crisis is still expanding. As the real estate investment and construction slowed down, the transaction status of commercial housing was hovering. Compared with the 2008 financial turmoil, the industry valuation still showed a downside risk. Therefore, KGI lowered China’s real estate to “Neutral” rating,