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目前,我国经济面临着十几年来最为低迷徘徊的困难时期,我们认为,其真正的原因是中国经济发展走进了一个低速低效的“连环套”。这个“连环套”的主体内容应该这样表述:“产品过剩→设备闲置→工人失业→潜在消费市场巨大但人民购买力不足→农民更无钱购物→城镇贫困问题日趋严重→形成产品再度更严重过剩→经济滞胀萧条”。若采用启动市场、刺激消费、放松银根、宽松财政等政策,必然又会出现下述“连环套”:“放松银根→企业无度贷款负债→市场需求转旺→各
At present, the economy of our country is facing a difficult period with the downturn in the most downturn in more than a decade. In our opinion, the real reason for this is that China’s economic development has entered a low-speed and inefficient “condom.” The main body of this “co-encasement” should be stated as follows: “excess product → idle equipment → unemployed workers → huge potential consumer market but insufficient purchasing power of peasants → no money for farmers → increasingly serious problem of urban poverty → further serious product surplus → Economic stagnation and depression. ” If we adopt such policies as starting the market, stimulating consumption, easing the monetary policy and easing fiscal policies, we will inevitably find the following “condom”: "Loosening monetary policy → Excessive loan liabilities of enterprises → Increasing market demand → All