论文部分内容阅读
市场本来就是风云变幻,像2004年5月这样的波动并不足奇,工程机械行业连续几年走强,常言道有大起必有大落,这一切都在业内人士的意料之中,出乎意料的是大多数人认为下半年会出现的情况二季度就显现出来。其实从一季度中国经济整体运行情况就能意识到这个结局。虽然发改委年初就开始对钢铁、电解铝、水泥等三大行业的投资发出限制令,但国家统计局公布的一季度经济运行数据表明,GDP增长9.7%,固定资产投资增速虽比1、2月份有所回落,可仍然高达43%,经济已经热到了必须进行强硬整顿的地步。随着4月宏观调控措施的相继到位,注定了5月成为2004年中国经济运行的一个拐点。而工程机械行业所关注的是,此次宏观调控对我国工程机械行业的影响究竟有多大?将持续多长时间?
The market is fundamentally changed, as in May 2004 such fluctuations is not surprising, the construction machinery industry for several years in a row, the saying goes, there must be a big ups and downs, all in the industry expected, unexpected Most people think the second half of the year will show up in the second quarter. In fact, from the first quarter of China’s overall economic performance can be aware of this outcome. Although the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) started to impose restrictions on the investment in the three major industries such as steel, electrolytic aluminum and cement at the beginning of the year, the data from the first quarter economic performance released by the National Bureau of Statistics show that the GDP growth rate is 9.7% and the growth rate of fixed asset investment is higher than that of 1,2 The monthly decline has been as high as 43% and the economy has reached a point where it must be hardest to reorganize. With the success of the macro-control measures in April, they are doomed to become an inflection point in China’s economic operation in 2004. The construction machinery industry is concerned that this macro-control on China’s construction machinery industry, how much impact? How long will last?