论文部分内容阅读
2011年,受欧洲主权债务危机不断蔓延的影响,发达国家经济复苏缓慢并呈现逐步分化趋势,新兴市场国家作为全球经济复苏主引擎的作用仍然突出,但也面临着经济增长趋缓的困扰。2012年,由于欧债危机隐患未除、全球金融系统依然脆弱以及发达国家自身结构性问题远未解决,全球经济方向将面临较大不确定性。未来新兴市场经济体有望继续充当全球经济复苏的主要动力,但增速将趋于放缓。发达经济体将维持宽松的货币政策,并将迫于财政赤字压力采取财政紧缩措施,而新兴经济体预计将实施相对稳健的货币政策与较为宽松的财政政策,以应对通货膨胀和经济增速趋缓的双重压力。
In 2011, under the influence of the ongoing spread of the sovereign debt crisis in Europe, the economic recovery in the developed countries showed a gradual trend of gradual differentiation and the role of emerging market countries as the main engines of global economic recovery remained prominent. However, they also faced problems of slowing economic growth. In 2012, due to the hidden dangers of the debt crisis in Europe, the fragile global financial system and the structural problems of the developed countries that are far from settled, the global economy will face greater uncertainty. In the future, emerging market economies are expected to continue to serve as the main engine of global economic recovery but the growth rate will slow down. Developed economies will maintain accommodative monetary policies and will be forced to adopt fiscal austerity measures under the pressure of fiscal deficits. Emerging economies are expected to implement relatively stable monetary policies and more liberal fiscal policies in response to the trend of inflation and economic growth. Slow double pressure.