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本文采用中国古典预测工具易经及其相关的技术工具,如梅花易数、诸葛神数等数理易学工具,以梅花易数系统为主,尝试对易学逻辑分析系统相关分析规则进综合使用,在相互映照基础上建立集束模型,用该模型对中国上证指数2014年的趋势进行研究。其中还涉及了与上证指数密切相关的国际资本市场指数,如道琼斯指数、黄金指数、美元指数等复合因素的预测。从本文得出的结果来看,可以证明采用这种复合方式对资本市场进行预测能够比较准确的把握资本市场的发展趋势,能够在一定程度上弥补传统资本市场基本面分析、技术分析等方法对突发性金融风险监控失效、反应滞后的缺陷。
In this paper, the classical Chinese forecasting tool I Ching and its related technical tools, such as Plum Blossoms, Zhuge number of gods and other mathematical tools to Yi, easy to count system Plum Blossom, try to analyze the rules of the Yi-heng logic analysis system into the combined use of Based on the mutual reflection, a cluster model is established, and the model is used to study the trend of the SSE in 2014 in China. It also involves the international capital market indices closely related to the Shanghai Composite Index, such as the Dow Jones index, the gold index, the dollar index and other composite factors. From the results obtained in this paper, we can prove that using this composite approach to predict the capital market can more accurately grasp the development trend of capital markets, to a certain extent make up for traditional capital markets fundamentals analysis, technical analysis and other methods Sudden financial risk monitoring failure, lag in response to the defect.