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随着德国统一,德国已经变大了,并且还将变得更大。难以肯定的只是,究竟它将变得多“大”。笔者认为,德国在未来世界经济中的地位,主要取决于下述三个因素。 一、德国本身的经济、货币和竞争力量如何发展。这固然要看东部地区,更取决于西部地区。 先说东部。在1990年国民生产总值萎缩了13％之后,1991年将再剧减20％。不过,到年底,看来经济已经不再下滑,不久可能开始回升,一系列迹象显示
With the reunification of Germany, Germany has become bigger and will also become larger. What is hard to say is just how big it will become. The author believes that Germany’s position in the future world economy depends mainly on the following three factors. First, Germany’s own economy, currency and competitive forces how to develop. This depends, of course, on the eastern region and more on the western region. Let’s talk about the east After a 13% contraction in gross national product in 1990, it will plunge further by 20% in 1991. However, by the end of the year, it appears that the economy is no longer in decline and may soon begin to pick up. There are a series of signs