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国际油价涨势连连,并于近日盘中突破100美元/桶,创出14个月高点。展望下半年,季节性需求增加、地缘政治冲突等因素对油价形成支撑,供需基本面宽松则抑制油价的涨幅。总体看,预计下半年国际油价走势相对平稳,纽约商交所WTI油价均价水平与上半年基本相当,布伦特油价均价水平略低于上半年。纵览上半年,石油供需基本面相对宽松,国际油价同比下降。年初,WTI和布伦特油价分别冲高至97.4美元/桶和119美元/桶的年内高点;2月中旬至5月初,油价经历两轮“回落-
International oil prices rose again and again, and in the recent session intraday breakthrough 100 US dollars / barrel, reaching a 14-month high. Looking forward to the second half of the year, rising seasonal demand and geopolitical conflicts will support oil prices while easing supply and demand will curb oil price increases. Overall, the international oil price is expected to be relatively stable in the second half of the year. The average price of WTI oil in the New York Mercantile Exchange is basically the same as that in the first half of the year. The average price of Brent oil is slightly lower than that in the first half of the year. In the first half of the year, the fundamentals of oil supply and demand were relatively relaxed, and the international oil prices dropped year on year. At the beginning of the year, WTI and Brent oil prices rallied to highs of 97.4 US dollars / barrel and 119 US dollars / barrel respectively. From mid-February to early May, oil prices experienced two rounds of ”fall-