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本文借助协整技术等计量手段对我国经济增长与工业制成品出口的商品结构的关系进行了剖析,结果表明:无论是长期还是短期,属于资本技术密集型的化学成品及其有关产品出口和机械及运输设备出口对经济增长都有促进作用,但属于劳动密集型的按原料分类的制成品出口和杂项制品出口中,仅在长期的杂项制品出口对经济增长有促进作用。政府企业应着力于:采取多项措施促进化学成品及其有关产品和机械及运输设备产品出口,发挥规模经济来发展杂项制品出口,采取有保有压的政策来发展按原料分类的制成品出口。
This paper analyzes the relationship between China’s economic growth and the commodity structure of industrial finished products exports by means of measurement techniques such as co-integration technology. The results show that both long-term and short-term, capital-technology-intensive chemical products and their related products are exported Exports of machinery and transport equipment have a positive effect on economic growth. However, in exports of manufactured goods classified as raw materials and labor-intensive materials, exports of long-term miscellaneous goods only contribute to economic growth. Government enterprises should focus on: adopting various measures to promote the export of chemical products and their related products and machinery and transportation equipment products, making full use of economies of scale in developing their exports of miscellaneous products, and adopting a policy of maintaining the pressure to develop manufactured exports classified by raw materials .