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一、经济波动理论在经济学研究中的地位经济波动理论的建设是服务于现实经济分析的,但理论建设的任务又区别于现实经济分析。1.现实经济问题研究的需要在我国社会主义经济发展的历史进程中,经济增长方面多次始料不及的变化曾一再提出进行经济波动问题研究的要求。1961年刘国光关于社会主义经济波浪式增长的分析可能是这方面研究的一次率先尝试。但是直到1984年,这一研究仍未引起足够的重视。1982年国民经济实际增长超出计划速度一倍多,引起了“计划低,实绩高”原因的讨论,然而当时的分析停留在经济活力增强、计划编制中求稳等表象层次,没有考虑经济波动中的扩张可能性。也
I. The Position of Economic Fluctuation Theory in Economic Research The construction of economic fluctuation theory serves the real economic analysis, but the task of theoretical construction is different from the real economic analysis. 1. The Needs of the Research on the Realistic Economic Issues In the course of the history of socialist economic development in our country, many unexpected changes in economic growth have repeatedly raised the demand for studies on the issue of economic fluctuations. In 1961, Liu Guoguang's analysis of the wavy growth of the socialist economy may be the first attempt in this area. However, until 1984, this research still did not pay enough attention. The actual growth of the national economy in 1982 surpassed the planned speed by more than doubled. This caused a discussion of the causes of “low plan and high performance”. However, the analysis of the time lagged upon the phenomenon of economic vitality and stability in planning and did not consider economic fluctuations The possibility of expansion. and also