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很多人都认为,此番股市暴跌都是国有股减持惹的祸,但韩志国认为,暴跌是由四个方面因素交互作用而引发的。 第一个因素是市场的运行环境发生了改变。从国内经济看,投资、消费和外贸历来是拉动中国经济增长的三驾马车,但今年以来,外贸增幅显著回落,消费需求相当疲软,社会投资欲振乏力,只有政府投资即积极的财政政策在唱“独角戏”。从国际经济看,在“9·11”恐怖袭击事件等这种变数越来越大的经济环境中,股市在连续攀升后而选择向下突破,并且在形态上完
Many people think that this time the stock market crash plummeted state-owned shares are blamed, but Han Zhiguo believes that the plunge is caused by the interaction of four factors. The first factor is the market’s operating environment has changed. From the perspective of the domestic economy, investment, consumption and foreign trade have always been the troika that drives China’s economic growth. However, this year, the growth rate of foreign trade dropped significantly, the consumer demand is rather weak, and the social investment tends to weaken. Only the government investment, that is, the proactive fiscal policy, is at Sing “one-man show.” From the perspective of the international economy, in the increasingly economic environment such as the 9/11 terrorist attacks, the stock market has chosen to make a downward breakthrough after its continuous rise and, at the end of its form,