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据有关专家分析:在全球国际贸易规模不断扩大的背景下,预计2007、2008年世界集装箱海运的需求增幅,将保持10%左右的较高水平。作为全球水运大国的中国,预计2007年港口集装箱吞吐量将增长17%,总量超过1亿箱;2008年将增长15%,达到1.15亿箱。今后一段时期,中国集装箱运输将从快速成长期进入平稳增长期,中国集装箱码头的投资建设、集装箱船队的扩张,都应适当调整发展策略,避免盲目扩张以及可能带来的恶性竞争与能力浪费。政府应委托有关中立机构,密切跟踪市场供求形势变化,建立市场预警机制。2007年将是集装箱运输市场的低谷年,2008年后有望出现缓慢复苏的迹象。在此局面下,船公司对未来两年集装箱市场仍比较乐观。实际上,自2005年以来,国内外船公司通过在中国港口
According to experts’ analysis, with the global scale of international trade expanding, it is estimated that the increase in the demand for container shipping by the world in 2007 and 2008 will maintain a relatively high level of about 10%. As a large global shipping nation, China is expected to increase its container throughput by 17% in 2007 to more than 100 million containers and 15% in 2008 to reach 115 million. In the coming period, China’s container transport will enter a period of steady growth from a rapid growth period. The investment and construction of container terminals in China and the expansion of container fleet should be properly adjusted to avoid blind expansion and possible vicious competition and waste of capacity . The government should entrust relevant neutral agencies to closely follow changes in the market supply and demand and establish a market early warning mechanism. 2007 will be the trough year for the container shipping market and signs of a slow recovery after 2008 are expected. In this situation, the shipping company is still optimistic about the container market in the next two years. In fact, since 2005, domestic and foreign shipping companies have passed the Chinese ports