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2003年,世界经济先是受到各种复杂因素的拖累,复苏步履蹒跚。在经过一段艰难跋涉之后,增长势头明显加快,与上半年增长2%相比,预计下半年全球经济将增长3.5%以上,明年可望达到4%。新近的种种迹象显示,世界经济可能将进入新一轮增长周期。国际货币基金组织前首席经济学家迈克尔·穆萨撰文对今年世界经济的发展态势做了这样的描述:“美国和亚洲新兴经济体在全球经济恢复增长中领先,加拿大、澳大利亚和中东欧将继续保持可观的增长率。拉丁美洲的增长也应该加速,因为阿根廷在2001—
In 2003, the world economy was dragged down by various complicated factors at first, and the recovery faltered. After a difficult journey, the growth momentum has accelerated noticeably. Compared with the 2% increase in the first half of the year, the global economy is expected to grow by more than 3.5% in the second half of the year and is expected to reach 4% next year. There are recent signs that the world economy is likely to enter a new cycle of growth. Michael Mussa, former chief economist of the International Monetary Fund, wrote this article on the development of the world economy this year: ”Emerging economies in the United States and Asia are leading the recovery from global economic growth. Canada, Australia, and Central and Eastern Europe will Continue to maintain a considerable growth rate of growth in Latin America should also be accelerated because Argentina in 2001-2005,