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未来是不可知的,但是,这并不妨碍人们窥视未来的兴趣。商业不仅仅是技术驱动的,但是,这并不能抹煞技术的变革总是在商业上带来连锁反应。在2006年,或者说在从2006 年开始的未来两三年内,什么样的技术将会深刻影响商业?什么样的连锁反应将会伴随这些技术而发生?正是这篇文章尝试回答的问题。我们之所以选择“无处不在的网络”、“网络视频化”和“生物芯片技术”作为三个影响2006年的关键技术,是由于这些看上去应用层次和影响领域各不相同甚至商业化程度也相差甚远的技术, 恰恰代表了随时互联、有效传输和精确识别这三个对整个社会向数字化发展起决定作用的要素。这些技术在产业链条上的作用点并不相同。“无处不在的网络”是环境层次的技术;“网络视频化”是应用层次的技术;而“生物芯片”由于走出实验室不久还不具备环境和应用的广泛支撑, 但是它作为很多现有应用的“升级插件”,拥有着巨大的想像空间。当然,这些技术更大的魅力在于,它们并不是某个企业的商业游戏,甚至对所有人来说,参与游戏的大门现在刚刚打开。
The future is unknown, but that does not prevent people from looking into the future. Business is more than just technology-driven, but it does not deny that technological change always has a commercial ripple effect. What kind of technology will have a profound impact on business in 2006, or in the next two or three years from 2006? What kind of chain reaction will accompany these technologies? This is exactly the question the article is trying to answer. We chose Ubiquitous Networks, Webcasting and Biochip as the three key technologies that affected 2006, due to the fact that these seemingly different levels of application and impact, or even commercialization Also a far cry from the technology, just represents the Internet at any time, effective transmission and accurate identification of these three to the entire community to play a decisive role in the development of digital elements. The role of these technologies in the industrial chain is not the same. “Ubiquitous networks” are environmental-level technologies; “networked video” is application-level technology; and “bio-chips” are not widely supported by the environment and applications as they emerge from the lab, Application of “upgrade plug-ins”, has a huge imagination. Of course, the greater appeal of these technologies is that they are not a business game for a company, and even for everyone, the door to the game is just now open.