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最近两年,随着中国经济面临下行压力以及“中等收入陷阱”概念越来越为人所知,担忧中国会掉入“中等收入陷阱”的声音又开始比较频繁地出现了。其实,“中等收入陷阱”只是一种约略概括,既非必然发生,也非不可逾越。它与特定国家的特定历史文化有关,与国民性格有关,更与领导能力有关。因此,它实际上是一个缺乏共识的经济社会猜想。首先,光就“中等收入”到底以多少美元或什么区间加以界定,就存在多种说法。通常,人们是根据世界银行的定义进行讨论。按照世
In the recent two years, as China’s economy is under downward pressure and the concept of “middle-income trap” is becoming more and more known, there is a fear that China will fall into the “middle income trap” more frequently. In fact, “middle income trap ” is only a rough outline, neither inevitable nor insurmountable. It is related to the specific history and culture of a particular country, is related to national character and more to leadership. Therefore, it is actually a lack of consensus on economic and social conjecture. First of all, there are many claims about how much or what “mid-income” is defined by the dollar. Usually, people are talking about the definition of the World Bank. According to the world