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美国页岩气大开发影响的不只是本国的化学工业,实际上也已经引起拉美石化行业的巨大变化。由于美国未来几年将以廉价的页岩气原料新建7个乙烯裂解项目,加上其他扩能项目乙烯和衍生物产能将大量增加,拉美石化行业现在不得不专注于天然气原料项目,以保证其成本上的竞争力。在笔者看来,过去几年拉美地区雄心勃勃规划的一些石化项目或已失去建设动力。巴西的Comperj石化厂原计划2011年投产,但因为原料问题而未能如期完成,按目前情况来看,可能要延迟到2018~2020年投产。
The large-scale development of shale gas in the United States has not only affected its own chemical industry but has actually caused tremendous changes in the petrochemical industry in Latin America. As the United States will build 7 new ethylene cracking projects with cheap shale gas feedstocks in the next few years and a substantial increase in ethylene and derivatives production capacity of other expansion projects, the Latin American petrochemical industry now has to focus on natural gas feedstock projects to ensure that its Cost competitiveness. In the author’s opinion, some petrochemical projects that have been ambitiously planned in Latin America in the past few years have lost the momentum of construction. Brazil’s Comperj petrochemical plant was originally planned to start production in 2011, but due to raw material problems and failed to be completed on schedule, according to the current situation, may be delayed until 2018-2020 production.