论文部分内容阅读
中国经济短期内不会出现滞涨,长期内也不会出现通缩。有人将当前中国经济状况与上世纪日本的经济情况相对比,认为中国经济有可能陷入日本上世纪70年代的持续滞涨或是90年代以来的长期通缩。笔者认为,中国经济目前的状况与上世纪70年代的日本更为相似,但从短期看,中国不会发生类似当时日本的持续滞胀,因为缺少类似于石油危机这样规模的
China’s economy will not stagnate in the short term and will not deflation in the long term. Some people compared the current economic situation in China with the economic situation in Japan in the last century and think that the Chinese economy may fall into the persistent stagflation of Japan in the 1970s or the long-term deflation since the 1990s. The author believes that the current situation of China’s economy is more similar to that of Japan in the 1970s, but in the short run, there will not be any sustained stagflation in Japan like that of Japan at that time due to the lack of such a scale as the oil crisis